A lot of people seem to be talking about the 1k genome during the 2009 early 2010 time frame. This would be several years ahead of what conventional singularitists would have thought. We have 10 ^15 supercomputers running conventional benchmarks and Gpu systems about to run about the same for 1/10 the price.
It is now becoming clear that having the first such system would enable several possibilities that are , by today's standards not achievable. Drones with near human ( 20 percent) of human capacity, instant online content created in photo realistic ways in real time. This will be good because i want to watch more of a certain types of movies. they just cost to much with humans involved.
what will it be like to simulate a real cell or to create a model of functioning microchondria.. could we see de grays ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aubrey_de_Grey) work come much sooner than thought possible.
i feel it in the wind so to speak. things are changing faster than i thought.
I dont think we have a way to fund the start ups. They will not need so much money ( 250 to 500 k) to do there "show" me. They will model and or make things go very fast
They wont need studios or human trials of huge factories to prove there point and create value. the question is, can the common man/woman put in micro investments so we can by pass old style vc structures that require that projects be large.
Do they care that 500 k turns into 5 million, instead of needing 20 million to just get in a game.
i do think its time to bring in the normal day to day person. We have just been shown that traditional investment advice is not good. They thought they were taking little risk...lol..wrong. time to put a tiny bit in short term de risking projects.
any one want a petaflop for 2 to 5 million
Peace
Tim
Monday, December 29, 2008
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